Blog Layout

Could the great refi boom finally be over? Rates are now comfortably over 3%, and the refis are waning

Didier Malagies • March 22, 2021

A growing chorus of mortgage industry observers believe the final week of February might have been the last hurrah for sub-3% mortgage rates. And the proof is in the refi pudding.


With mortgage rates making their ascension, many late-to-the-game homeowners hopped on the chance to refinance their home loans and pushed refi volume to 68% of all closed loans in February, according to the latest originations report from ICE Mortgage Technology. That’s the highest refi volume the industry has seen in over a year, with conventional refi volume even hiking all the way up to 75% of closed loans.


Rates have been over 3.0% for much of the month of March, and reached a benchmark rate of 3.32% for the 30-year mortgage on Friday. While a 3% rate is still hovering near historic lows, anywhere from an eighth to a quarter percent turn in mortgage rates, up or down, can cause a borrower to wait out the market.

Mortgage applications dropped 2.2% for the week ending March 12. The refi index has fallen 26% from its peak in September, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association. Last week, the refi share decreased to 62.9% of total applications, down from 64.5% the week prior.


“Rates have jumped 36 basis points since the end of January, and last week refinance activity fell across all loan types,” said Joel Kan, the MBA’s associate vice president of industry surveys. “The purchase market helped offset the slump in refinances. Activity was up 5 percent from a year ago, as the recovering job market and demographic factors drive demand, despite ongoing supply and affordability constraints.”


Non-QM: New Market + New Rules = New Opportunities

With the new rules of Non-QM 2.0 now in play and an oncoming wave of potential new customers, do you have the tools in place to help you keep up, streamline efficiencies and grow your potential market share? Join leading industry experts for a 45-minute discussion on the market, challenges and opportunities.

Presented by: LoanScorecard


Continued high refi volume may give builders enough time to play catch up as the industry battles constant supply shortages and high building material costs. Homeowners are currently working with just four months of inventory, according to the U.S Census Bureau.


Speaking of playing catch-up, data from ICE Mortgage Technology – which owns Ellie Mae – also revealed that lenders may finally be clearing out their pipelines. The average time it takes lenders to close a loan dropped to 53 days in February, from 58 days the month prior. Still, borrowers are waiting an average of 7.5 weeks before they enter their new home, similar to what happened in October when rates were sitting closer to 2.8%.


So what kind of borrowers were actually closing on all those loans? According to ICE, the average FICO score on all closed loans rose to 753 in February, once again, the highest data point the report has recorded in over a year. LTV dropped down to 70 and DTI remained unchanged at 23/34.




Start Your Loan with DDA today
Your local Mortgage Broker

Mortgage Broker Largo
See our Reviews

Looking for more details? Listen to our extended podcast! 

Check out our other helpful videos to learn more about credit and residential mortgages.

By Didier Malagies November 20, 2024
The trend line for mortgage rates has been the same for several weeks, even as some of the uncertainty surrounding the 2024 election is fading. The cost of a home loan continues to move in a negative direction for U.S. consumers and housing professionals alike as the downward movement that started in August has been erased entirely. At HousingWire’s Mortgage Rates Center on Tuesday, the average rate for 30-year conforming loans was 6.99%. That was up 4 basis points (bps) from a week ago and 75 bps higher than when rates bottomed out in late September. Meanwhile, the 15-year conforming loan rate — which had been as low as 5.57% less than two months ago — stood at 6.98% on Tuesday.  The pace of increases is moderating. “Mortgage rates are expected to be lower today as bond yields have been decreasing throughout the night and early morning, slightly dropping further following the recent softer housing starts data,” HousingWire Lead Analyst Logan Mohtashami wrote on Tuesday.
By Didier Malagies November 18, 2024
Homebuyers who are part of Generation X — primarily born between the mid 1960s and the early 1980s — should keep accessibility features in mind as they approach retirement, since Americans are increasingly looking to age in place in their own homes once their time in the workforce is complete. This is according to a recent article at the Boston Globe that took a closer look at the kinds of homes that those currently in their mid-to-late 50s may want to prioritize as they look to the future. Not only is it a good idea to think ahead for themselves, the article explains, but many members of Gen X are also a part of the so-called “sandwich generation” where they may be taking care of both their own children, and their parents simultaneously. “So for those considering moving out of the homes where they raised their children, there are some key boxes to check to make living in their next house easiest for everyone,” the story said. The biggest aspect to keep in mind is the one that could make the biggest accessibility difference, and that is keeping the house confined primarily to a single floor. “In most of our remodeling, we use a design technique called Universal Design,” said Brian Harvey, owner of Boston-area business Harvey Home Modifications . “That essentially is a design that will serve anyone of any physical capability in the house.” Keeping in mind what is not needed is also a useful exercise, he said, and ensuring that door frames are wide enough to accommodate wheelchairs could be beneficial for any current or future wheelchair users that do, or will, reside in the home. Bathrooms are also a major focus, since they can often serve as common sites for falls or other accidents since slippery, wet surfaces can be easy to find. “If the home you’re hoping to buy doesn’t have the accessibility you’re looking for, you’ll want to check with a contractor to see what kind of renovations are possible,” the story said. One of the ways the reverse mortgage industry has aimed to position the potential value proposition for prospective borrowers is by the ability to use the loan proceeds to fund home modifications. The U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) has also given attention to home modifications specifically for aging in place. This past summer, the department greenlit a new round of grant funding specifically to assist more older Americans with aging in place.  Reporting earlier this year by the Associated Press (AP) also tracked the increasing desire of older Americans to remain in their homes for longer, illustrating how they were increasingly “splurging” on home modifications to better fashion their living spaces for later life’s natural mobility limitations. Home improvement retailers have also taken notice, with The Home Depot refreshing an in-house brand with accessibility in mind for things like grab bars and easier-to-use faucets. In 2021, Lowe’s established a single stop for items including wheelchair ramps and shower benches, the AP reported.
By Didier Malagies November 18, 2024
When a property appraisal comes in lower than the agreed-upon purchase price, it can complicate financing for the buyer. Here's what typically happens for FHA, Conventional, and VA mortgages: 1. FHA Mortgages Impact of a Low Appraisal: The loan amount is limited to the lower of the purchase price or the appraised value. A low appraisal means the buyer must: Renegotiate the purchase price with the seller. Pay the difference in cash. Walk away if the contract allows it. Required Repairs: FHA appraisals assess both value and property condition. If issues arise (e.g., safety concerns), the seller or buyer must make repairs before closing. Appraisal Stays with the Property: FHA appraisals are tied to the property for 120 days. If a different FHA buyer comes along within that period, they inherit the appraisal value. 2. Conventional Mortgages Impact of a Low Appraisal: Conventional loans also limit the loan amount to the appraised value. If the appraisal is low, the buyer must: Negotiate a lower price with the seller. Increase their down payment to cover the gap. Cancel the deal if allowed by a financing contingency. Appraisal Appeal or Second Appraisal: Buyers or lenders can challenge the appraisal or request another one if there’s evidence the appraisal was inaccurate. More Flexibility: Conventional loans often have fewer property condition requirements than FHA or VA loans, so the appraisal focuses more on market value. 3. VA Mortgages Impact of a Low Appraisal: VA loans use a Notice of Value (NOV) to determine the property’s worth. If the NOV is lower than the purchase price, options include: Negotiating a price reduction with the seller. Paying the difference in cash. Requesting a "Reconsideration of Value" (ROV) through the VA if there’s a strong case for higher value. VA Escape Clause: VA loans include a clause allowing buyers to walk away if the property appraises lower than the purchase price without forfeiting their earnest money deposit. Minimum Property Requirements (MPRs): If the property doesn't meet VA MPRs, repairs are required before closing. General Buyer Options in Case of a Low Appraisal: Renegotiate Price: Sellers may agree to lower the price to match the appraisal. Bring Extra Cash: Buyers can cover the gap out-of-pocket. Challenge the Appraisal: Provide additional data to support a higher value. Walk Away: Utilize financing or appraisal contingencies to exit the deal. Would you like more details on how to handle a specific type of mortgage? tune in and learn at https://www.ddamortgage.com/blog didier malagies nmls#212566 dda mortgage nmls#324329
Show More
Share by: